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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Roma
1 - 1
Napoli

Angelino (90+2')
Kone (51'), Pisilli (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Spinazzola (29')
Politano (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Frankfurt
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Juventus
Saturday, January 25 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
RomaDrawNapoli
42.34% (0.107 0.11)27.04% (0.086000000000002 0.09)30.62% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 49.53% (-0.34800000000001 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.45% (-0.406 -0.41)55.55% (0.4 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.27% (-0.333 -0.33)76.72% (0.328 0.33)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)25.93% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.06% (-0.175 -0.17)60.93% (0.17 0.17)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)33.12% (0.35 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (-0.391 -0.39)69.72% (0.387 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Roma 42.33%
    Napoli 30.62%
    Draw 27.04%
RomaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.131 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.62%

How you voted: Roma vs Napoli

Roma
23.9%
Draw
17.6%
Napoli
58.5%
159
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 13
Napoli
1-0
Roma
Lukaku (54')

N'Dicka (38'), Pisilli (60'), Cristante (90+1')
Apr 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
2-2
Roma
Olivera (64'), Osimhen (84' pen.)
Rrahmani (75'), Zambo Anguissa (80')
Dybala (59' pen.), Abraham (88')
Dec 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Roma
2-0
Napoli
Pellegrini (76'), Lukaku (90+6')
Paredes (28'), Kristensen (32'), Mourinho (32'), Cristante (38'), Belotti (60'), Zalewski (66'), El Shaarawy (81'), Azmoun (90+5')

Rui (28'), Mazzarri (31'), Jesus (62'), Osimhen (73')
Politano (66'), Osimhen (86')
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Napoli
2-1
Roma
Osimhen (17'), Simeone (86')
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
0-1
Napoli
Osimhen (80')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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