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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Roma
1 - 1
Napoli

Angelino (90+2')
Kone (51'), Pisilli (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Spinazzola (29')
Politano (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Frankfurt
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Juventus
Saturday, January 25 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Napoli

Roma are far tougher to beat at home than away, so they could stall Napoli's winning run and keep their own momentum building. Shutting out Antonio Conte's side entirely may be too much to ask, but Claudio Ranieri's men have sufficient firepower to score at least once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
RomaDrawNapoli
42.34% (0.107 0.11) 27.04% (0.086000000000002 0.09) 30.62% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 49.53% (-0.34800000000001 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.45% (-0.406 -0.41)55.55% (0.4 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.27% (-0.333 -0.33)76.72% (0.328 0.33)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)25.93% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.06% (-0.175 -0.17)60.93% (0.17 0.17)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)33.12% (0.35 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (-0.391 -0.39)69.72% (0.387 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Roma 42.33%
    Napoli 30.62%
    Draw 27.04%
RomaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.131 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.62%

How you voted: Roma vs Napoli

Roma
23.9%
Draw
17.6%
Napoli
58.5%
159
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 13
Napoli
1-0
Roma
Lukaku (54')

N'Dicka (38'), Pisilli (60'), Cristante (90+1')
Apr 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
2-2
Roma
Olivera (64'), Osimhen (84' pen.)
Rrahmani (75'), Zambo Anguissa (80')
Dybala (59' pen.), Abraham (88')
Dec 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Roma
2-0
Napoli
Pellegrini (76'), Lukaku (90+6')
Paredes (28'), Kristensen (32'), Mourinho (32'), Cristante (38'), Belotti (60'), Zalewski (66'), El Shaarawy (81'), Azmoun (90+5')

Rui (28'), Mazzarri (31'), Jesus (62'), Osimhen (73')
Politano (66'), Osimhen (86')
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Napoli
2-1
Roma
Osimhen (17'), Simeone (86')
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
0-1
Napoli
Osimhen (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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