Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Napoli logo

Fiorentina
0 - 3
Napoli

FT(HT: 0-1)
Neres (29'), Lukaku (54' pen.), McTominay (68')
Di Lorenzo (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, December 29 at 5pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Venezia
Sunday, December 29 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
46.54% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)24.96% (0.009999999999998 0.01)28.5% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.87% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.92% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)48.08% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)70.25% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)20.7% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)53.31% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (0.0040000000000049 0)67.07%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 46.54%
    Napoli 28.5%
    Draw 24.95%
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.5%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Napoli

Fiorentina
28.0%
Draw
27.1%
Napoli
44.9%
107
Head to Head
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Fiorentina
2-2
Napoli
Biraghi (40'), N'Zola (42')
Mandragora (84')
Rrahmani (8'), Kvaratskhelia (57')
Kvaratskhelia (41'), Cajuste (70')
> Preview
Jan 18, 2024 7pm
Semi-Finals
Napoli
3-0
Fiorentina
Simeone (22'), Zerbin (84', 86')

Biraghi (51')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
1-3
Fiorentina
Osimhen (45+5' pen.)
Simeone (90+1'), Cajuste (90+5')
Brekalo (7'), Bonaventura (63'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Terracciano (45+4'), Martinez (69'), Bonaventura (70'), Ranieri (89')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-0
Fiorentina
Osimhen (74' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Fiorentina
0-0
Napoli
Martinez (60'), Jovic (68')
Zambo Anguissa (3'), Spalletti (19'), Raspadori (90'), Ndombele (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!