

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 2 | 2 | 4 | 
| 9 | Fiorentina | 2 | 1 | 4 | 
| 10 | Udinese | 3 | -1 | 4 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Roma | 3 | 2 | 7 | 
| 5 | Napoli | 2 | 7 | 6 | 
| 6 | Inter Milan | 3 | 2 | 6 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli | 
| 38.01% (  1.16) | 24.72% (  0.01) | 37.27% (  -1.16) | 
| Both teams to score 58.79% (  -0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.67% (  -0.02) | 44.33% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.29% (  -0.02) | 66.7% (  0.02) | 
| Fiorentina Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.87% (  0.6) | 23.13% (  -0.6) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43% (  0.87) | 56.99% (  -0.86) | 
| Napoli Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.48% (  -0.61) | 23.52% (  0.62) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.44% (  -0.9) | 57.55% (  0.9) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli | 
| 2-1 @ 8.44% (  0.15) 1-0 @ 7.96% (  0.15) 2-0 @ 5.83% (  0.21) 3-1 @ 4.12% (  0.14) 3-2 @ 2.98% (  0.05) 3-0 @ 2.85% (  0.15) 4-1 @ 1.51% (  0.08) 4-2 @ 1.09% (  0.04) 4-0 @ 1.04% (  0.07) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.11% (  -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.44% (  -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.34% (  -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.87% (  -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.7% (  -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.03% (  -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.95% (  -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.75% (  -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.46% (  -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.07% (  -0.04) 0-4 @ 1% (  -0.07) Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.27% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 | 
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 | 
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 | 
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 | 
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 | 
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 | 
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 | 
| 9 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 | 
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 | 
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 | 
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 | 
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 | 
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 | 
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 | 
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 | 
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 | 
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 | 
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 | 
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 | 
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