Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
18.3% | 20.76% | 60.94% |
Both teams to score 56.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.65% | 40.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.28% | 62.72% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.43% | 35.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.66% | 72.34% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% | 12.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.89% | 39.11% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 5% 1-0 @ 4.71% 2-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.67% Total : 18.3% | 1-1 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 5.14% 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.62% 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-3 @ 6.82% 0-3 @ 6.59% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 3.5% 0-4 @ 3.39% 2-4 @ 1.81% 1-5 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.55% Total : 60.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 70 | 23 | 47 | 83 |
2 | Juventus | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 66 |
3 | Lazio | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
4 | Inter Milan | 34 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 63 |
5 | AC Milan | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 61 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 41 | 15 | 58 |
7 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Monza | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 46 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 46 |
11 | Bologna | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 |
12 | Udinese | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 43 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
14 | Salernitana | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
15 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 35 |
16 | Lecce | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 31 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 30 |
18 | SpeziaSpezia | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 56 | -28 | 27 |
19 | Cremonese | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 24 |
20 | Sampdoria | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 59 | -39 | 17 |
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