Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Fiorentina | 
| 38.11% | 25.32% | 36.58% | 
| Both teams to score 56.62% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.88% | 47.12% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.64% | 69.36% | 
| Bologna Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.66% | 24.34% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.27% | 58.73% | 
| Fiorentina Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.83% | 25.17% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.1% | 59.9% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Bologna | Draw | Fiorentina | 
| 1-0 @ 8.66% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.45% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 0.92% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.77% Total : 36.58% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 15 | 36 | 56 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 | 
| 3 | Roma | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 40 | 
| 4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 38 | 
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 38 | 
| 6 | AC Milan | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 38 | 
| 7 | Torino | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 30 | 
| 8 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 29 | 
| 9 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 | 
| 10 | Empoli | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 26 | 
| 11 | Monza | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 | 
| 12 | Fiorentina | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 | 
| 13 | Juventus | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 23 | 
| 14 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 | 
| 15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 23 | 
| 16 | Salernitana | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 21 | 
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 18 | 
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 13 | 
| 19 | Sampdoria | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 9 | 
| 20 | Cremonese | 21 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 | 
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