Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Bologna | 
| 67.97% | 17.73% | 14.29% | 
| Both teams to score 57.89% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 66.21% | 33.79% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 44.37% | 55.63% | 
| Atalanta BC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 90.9% | 9.1% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.08% | 30.92% | 
| Bologna Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.69% | 36.31% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.9% | 73.1% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Bologna | 
| 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 7.68% 3-0 @ 7.59% 4-1 @ 4.61% 4-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-2 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 2.21% 5-0 @ 2.18% 5-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.79% Total : 67.97% | 1-1 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.87% 0-0 @ 3.31% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.73% | 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-1 @ 3.35% 0-2 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.17% Total : 14.29% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 74 | 
| 2 | Lazio | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 58 | 
| 3 | Roma | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 53 | 
| 4 | AC Milan | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 52 | 
| 5 | Inter Milan | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 51 | 
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 48 | 
| 7 | Juventus | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 44 | 
| 8 | Bologna | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 43 | 
| 9 | Fiorentina | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 41 | 
| 10 | Udinese | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 39 | 
| 11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 38 | 
| 12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 37 | 
| 13 | Monza | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 35 | 
| 14 | Empoli | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 32 | 
| 15 | Salernitana | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 29 | 
| 16 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 27 | 
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 26 | 
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 | 
| 19 | Cremonese | 29 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 16 | 
| 20 | Sampdoria | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 15 | 
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