Napoli
5 - 2
Lazio
Insigne (7' pen., 53'), Politano (12'), Mertens (65'), Osimhen (80')
Manolas (15'), Fabian (42'), Mertens (45+1'), Di Lorenzo (73')
Manolas (15'), Fabian (42'), Mertens (45+1'), Di Lorenzo (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Immobile (70'), Milinkovic-Savic (74')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Leiva (30'), Immobile (48'), Pereira (75')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Leiva (30'), Immobile (48'), Pereira (75')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
| 49.57% | 23.6% | 26.82% |
| Both teams to score 58.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
