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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
QPR logo
Rotherham
3 - 1
QPR
Hugill (15', 70' pen.), Odofin (90')
Hugill (34'), Harding (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lowe (83' pen.)
Adomah (42'), Field (49'), Dickie (69')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Rotherham
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-3 Blackburn
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

QPR are lacking any real confidence and missing several key players, and even though Ainsworth will hope to lift his new side with a much-needed result, we see them falling short away at a Rotherham side who have impressed in South Yorkshire this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
38.35% (0.26 0.26) 27.08% (-0.129 -0.13) 34.56% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.52% (0.381 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (0.489 0.49)54.81% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (0.402 0.4)76.12% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (0.383 0.38)27.77% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (0.487 0.49)63.35% (-0.488 -0.49)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94% (0.15899999999999 0.16)30.06% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (0.191 0.19)66.19% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 38.35%
    Queens Park Rangers 34.56%
    Draw 27.08%
Rotherham UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 38.35%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.03% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.56%

How you voted: Rotherham vs QPR

Rotherham United
60.0%
Draw
35.0%
Queens Park Rangers
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
QPR
1-1
Rotherham
Willock (43')
Dickie (29'), Dozzell (64'), Field (74')
Ogbene (33')
Humphreys (64'), Johansson (90+5')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
QPR
1-1
Rotherham
QPR win 8-7 on penalties
Dykes (115')
Johansen (16')
Ihiekwe (98')
Lindsay (99'), Harding (110')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Rotherham
3-1
QPR
Ladapo (64', 66'), Smith (90')
MacDonald (38'), MacDonald (41'), Smith (70'), Wood (75')
Dykes (52')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
QPR
3-2
Rotherham
Chair (20'), Osayi-Samuel (45+1'), Dykes (45+3' pen.)
Smith (38'), Ladapo (84')
Wiles (45+2'), Ihiekwe (80'), Crooks (90+1')
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
QPR
1-2
Rotherham
Osayi-Samuel (85')
Bidwell (43'), Furlong (94')
Ajayi (71', 95')
Mattock (17')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBurnley4629143873552101
4Middlesbrough462291584562875
5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
8Millwall461911165750768
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
RReading461311224668-2244
RBlackpool461111244872-2444
RWigan AthleticWigan461015213865-2742

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