

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 38.35% ( | 27.08% ( | 34.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.19% ( | 54.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% ( | 76.12% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( | 27.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.65% ( | 63.35% ( |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% ( | 30.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.81% ( | 66.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.35% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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