Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.