Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 84.53%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 5.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 4-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Groningen |
| 84.53% ( | 10.24% ( | 5.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.89% ( | 26.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.65% ( | 46.35% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.68% ( | 4.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.1% ( | 17.89% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.69% ( | 49.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.82% ( | 84.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Groningen |
| 3-0 @ 11.01% ( 2-0 @ 10.51% ( 4-0 @ 8.65% ( 3-1 @ 7.79% ( 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 4-1 @ 6.12% ( 5-0 @ 5.44% ( 5-1 @ 3.84% ( 6-0 @ 2.85% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 6-1 @ 2.01% 5-2 @ 1.36% ( 7-0 @ 1.28% ( 7-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.74% Total : 84.52% | 1-1 @ 4.73% ( 2-2 @ 2.63% ( 0-0 @ 2.13% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 10.24% | 1-2 @ 1.67% ( 0-1 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 5.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 81 | 35 | 46 | 65 |
| 3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 |
| 17 | Groningen | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 16 |
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