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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Bristol Rovers
Plymouth
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers
Ennis (51'), Gillesphey (56')
Matete (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Evans (13'), Barton (14'), Loft (86')
Evans (26')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Bristol Rovers

While Plymouth have not necessarily been at their best of late, they have still managed to churn out a number of key victories. We feel that will remain the same on Tuesday, leading us to predict another win with a clean sheet being posted in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol Rovers
64.5% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 19.55% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 15.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.01% (0.075000000000003 0.08)38.99% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.69% (0.079000000000001 0.08)61.31% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (0.027000000000001 0.03)11.4% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.83% (0.061 0.06)36.16% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (0.039000000000001 0.04)37.48% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)74.26% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 64.49%
    Bristol Rovers 15.95%
    Draw 19.55%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.88% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 64.49%
1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.55%
1-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 15.95%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Bristol Rovers

Plymouth Argyle
88.1%
Draw
7.1%
Bristol Rovers
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Plymouth

Loft (85'), Thomas (90+5')
Waine (24'), Hardie (32')
Matete (71'), Lonwijk (77'), Ennis (88')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-2
Plymouth
Coburn (47'), Collins (57')
Azaz (14'), Randell (45+2')
Houghton (23')
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Plymouth
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Plymouth win 4-3 on penalties
Hardie (58' pen.)
Whittaker (37')
Loft (50')
Saunders (60'), Rossiter (88')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 37
Plymouth
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Ennis (7', 45')
Ennis (18'), Opoku (39'), Lewis (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
gameweek 17
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Plymouth
Kilgour (7'), McCormick (26'), Westbrooke (85')
Upson (68')

Watts (40'), Fornah (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

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