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League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Portsmouth
Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Portsmouth

Whelan (20'), Ward (36'), MacDonald (68')
Quansah (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bishop (18', 69' pen.)
Tunnicliffe (77'), Morrell (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Portsmouth

Pompey would have been buoyed by their midweek away victory, and after beating Bristol Rovers 3-1 in August, we think that the visitors will have the edge over their opponents on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPortsmouth
29.69% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 25.73% (-0.02 -0.02) 44.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.12% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (0.064999999999998 0.06)50.72% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.056000000000001 0.06)72.62% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (0.058000000000007 0.06)22.69% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (0.083000000000006 0.08)56.35% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 29.69%
    Portsmouth 44.57%
    Draw 25.73%
Bristol RoversDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 29.69%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.81% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.49% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.57%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Portsmouth

Bristol Rovers
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Portsmouth
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
3-1
Bristol Rovers
Ogilvie (32'), Pigott (82' pen.), Dale (90+2')
Pack (57'), Morrison (73'), Scarlett (88')
Collins (61')
Whelan (20'), Gibson (53'), Rossiter (72'), Finley (85'), Coutts (86')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Bristol Rovers
3-1
Portsmouth
Ayunga (34', 44'), Leahy (70' pen.)
McCormick (6'), Williams (28')
Marquis (26')
Johnson (66'), Raggett (69')
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-2
Portsmouth
Rodman (78'), MacGillivray (93' og.)
Upson (29'), Ogogo (83')
Evans (9' pen.), Curtis (70')
Raggett (1'), McCrorie (39'), Curtis (69'), Burgess (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth43288776463092
2Ipswich TownIpswich432613490335791
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds442612677374090
4Barnsley432671076383885
5Bolton WanderersBolton4321121057332475
6Derby CountyDerby4421121166442275
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough442341773541973
8Portsmouth4417171058471168
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe442081657461168
10Lincoln CityLincoln431320104443159
11Charlton AthleticCharlton441513166562358
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155147457
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43168195056-656
14Exeter CityExeter441411196160153
15Bristol Rovers421410185566-1152
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431311194055-1550
17Port Vale441310214565-2049
18Burton Albion421310195578-2349
19MK Dons441110234062-2243
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd43914204154-1341
21Morecambe44914214273-3141
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43117253766-2940
23Accrington StanleyAccrington43911233674-3838
RForest Green RoversForest Green4469293184-5327

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