

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Bristol Rovers | 
| 52.92% ( | 23.71% ( | 23.37% ( | 
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.19% ( | 46.81% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.93% ( | 69.07% ( | 
| Oxford United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.35% ( | 17.64% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.75% ( | 48.25% ( | 
| Bristol Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.73% ( | 34.27% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.03% ( | 70.97% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Oxford United | Draw | Bristol Rovers | 
| 1-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.64% Total : 52.91%  | 1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.7%  | 0-1 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.37%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S  | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 
| 2 | I  | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 
| 3 | S  | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 
| 4 | T  | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 
| 5 | R  | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 
| 2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 
| 3 | Barnsley | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 22 | 
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 
| 5 | Stevenage | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 
| 6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 | 
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 | 
| 8 | Derby CountyDerby | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 
| 9 | Port Vale | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 17 | 
| 10 | Blackpool | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 | 
| 12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 15 | 
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 | 
| 14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 | 
| 15 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 14 | 
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 14 | 
| 17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 
| 18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 13 | 
| 19 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 | 
| 21 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 | 
| 22 | Reading | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 | 
| 23 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 5 | 
| 24 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 20 | -19 | 2 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
