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Barnsley
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Bristol Rovers
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Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
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Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Forest Green Rovers
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Lincoln City
MK Dons
Morecambe
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Portsmouth
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Shrewsbury Town
Wycombe Wanderers
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK at Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe
5 - 1
Bristol Rovers
Crowley (20'), Connolly (47' og.), Love (49'), Stockton (62'), Major (88')
Gibson (45+2'), Major (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collins (90')
Connolly (42'), McCormick (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Despite their defeat against Ipswich, Morecambe have enjoyed a good run of form that they will have taken confidence from. Bristol Rovers have lost their last two matches 2-0, so we think this will be a closely-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawBristol Rovers
36.52% (0.209 0.21) 26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 37.48% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.24% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (0.102 0.1)50.16% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (0.087 0.09)72.12% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (0.167 0.17)26.62% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (0.222 0.22)61.85% (-0.222 -0.22)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)26.08% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)61.13% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 36.52%
    Bristol Rovers 37.48%
    Draw 25.99%
MorecambeDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.48%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-2
Morecambe
Loft (29'), Thomas (80')
Thomas (90+1'), McCormick (90+5')
Weir (12'), Phillips (53')
Gibson (16')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Morecambe
Gaffney (68'), Bodin (78')
Brown (58')
Devitt (12' pen.)
Fleming (80')
Oct 3, 2015 3pm
Morecambe
3-4
Bristol Rovers
Miller (43'), Barkhuizen (60'), Mullin (87' pen.)
Fleming (96')
Mansell (28'), Bodin (47'), Taylor (58'), Harrison (80' pen.)
Nicholls (92')
Mar 29, 2014 3pm
Dec 14, 2013 3pm
Morecambe
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Amond (57'), Redshaw (87')
Drummond (44'), Wright (49'), Hughes (60'), Redshaw (88')
O'Toole (30')
Harrold (46'), Clarke (66'), Parkes (89'), Lockyer (91')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Result
Paul
De Minaur
6 4 1
3 6 6
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33228360223874
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth34218561372471
3Ipswich TownIpswich341812465313466
4Bolton WanderersBolton36189951282363
5Derby CountyDerby341710755312461
6Barnsley32186849282160
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe331661145321354
8Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury34157124336752
9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough331631453411251
10Portsmouth33131284537851
11Lincoln CityLincoln3391773233-144
12Exeter CityExeter341110134544143
13Port Vale35127163549-1443
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood341012123635142
15Bristol Rovers34119144755-842
16Charlton AthleticCharlton341011134546-141
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3599173645-936
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham34106182646-2036
19Burton Albion3398164062-2235
20Accrington StanleyAccrington32810142848-2034
21Morecambe34711163353-2032
22MK Dons3586213154-2330
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3485212655-2929
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3558222766-3923

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