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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Burton Albion |
32.68% (![]() | 27.59% (![]() | 39.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.97% (![]() | 57.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.08% (![]() | 77.92% (![]() |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% (![]() | 32.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% (![]() | 68.95% (![]() |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% (![]() | 28.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% (![]() | 63.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 10.24% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 13.02% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.09% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 11.56% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Port Vale | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 40 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 36 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
21 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 29 |
23 | Morecambe | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 28 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
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