Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.