Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 64.45% ( | 20.37% ( | 15.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.7% ( | 44.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.33% ( | 66.67% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.99% ( | 13.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.46% ( | 39.53% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.24% ( | 41.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.77% ( | 78.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 3-0 @ 7.68% ( 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 4-0 @ 3.92% ( 4-1 @ 3.42% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 5-0 @ 1.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 5-1 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 64.43% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 2-2 @ 4.31% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0-2 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 1-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 61 |
| 2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 18 | 29 | 58 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 54 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 47 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 43 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 38 |
| 9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 35 |
| 14 | Port Vale | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 35 |
| 15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 34 |
| 16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 29 |
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 28 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 24 |
| 22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 24 |
| 23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 22 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 21 |
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