| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Cheltenham Town | 7 | -4 | 5 | 
| 23 | Morecambe | 7 | -8 | 4 | 
| 24 | Burton Albion | 7 | -12 | 1 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ipswich Town | 7 | 10 | 17 | 
| 2 | Portsmouth | 7 | 9 | 17 | 
| 3 | Plymouth Argyle | 7 | 4 | 15 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Portsmouth | 
| 20.48% (  -0.57) | 23.14% (  -0.09) | 56.38% (  0.66) | 
| Both teams to score 52.04% (  -0.57) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.32% (  -0.34) | 47.67% (  0.34) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.13% (  -0.32) | 69.87% (  0.31) | 
| Burton Albion Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.48% (  -0.77) | 37.52% (  0.77) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.7% (  -0.77) | 74.3% (  0.76) | 
| Portsmouth Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.29% (  0.11) | 16.71% (  -0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.39% (  0.19) | 46.61% (  -0.2) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Burton Albion | Draw | Portsmouth | 
| 1-0 @ 6.15% (  -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.39% (  -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.01% (  -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.76% (  -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.58% (  -0.07) 3-0 @ 0.98% (  -0.05) Other @ 1.61% Total : 20.48% | 1-1 @ 10.99% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.27% (  0.09) 2-2 @ 4.82% (  -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.94% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 11.21% (  0.2) 0-2 @ 10.03% (  0.21) 1-2 @ 9.84% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 5.98% (  0.15) 1-3 @ 5.87% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 2.88% (  -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.68% (  0.08) 1-4 @ 2.62% (  0.02) 2-4 @ 1.29% (  -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.96% (  0.03) 1-5 @ 0.94% (  0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 56.37% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 67 | 
| 2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 65 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 59 | 
| 4 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 57 | 
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 54 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 53 | 
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 50 | 
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 48 | 
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 44 | 
| 10 | Portsmouth | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 41 | 
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 | 
| 12 | Exeter CityExeter | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 39 | 
| 13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 38 | 
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 38 | 
| 15 | Port Vale | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 37 | 
| 16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 36 | 
| 17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 35 | 
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 33 | 
| 19 | Burton Albion | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 31 | 
| 20 | MK Dons | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 29 | 
| 21 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 | 
| 22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 27 | 
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 26 | 
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 22 | 
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