| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Barnsley | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Oxford United | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Lincoln City | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Forest Green Rovers | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 6 | -8 | 3 |
| 24 | Burton Albion | 6 | -11 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 60.66% ( | 21.21% ( | 18.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.34% ( | 42.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.93% ( | 65.07% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.38% ( | 13.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.23% ( | 40.77% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.87% ( | 37.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.09% ( | 73.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 2-0 @ 10.04% ( 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 3-0 @ 6.68% ( 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 5-1 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 60.65% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.21% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 2-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 18.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 61 |
| 2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 18 | 29 | 58 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 54 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 50 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 43 |
| 7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 41 |
| 9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 41 |
| 10 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
| 12 | Bristol Rovers | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 37 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 35 |
| 15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 34 |
| 16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 31 |
| 17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 29 |
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 | Morecambe | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 27 |
| 20 | MK Dons | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 25 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
| 22 | Burton Albion | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 25 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 25 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 55 | -31 | 21 |
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