

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Forest Green Rovers | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Cheltenham Town | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 | MK Dons | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Shrewsbury Town | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Oxford United | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Forest Green Rovers | 4 | -3 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 20.46% ( | 23.3% ( | 56.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.61% ( | 48.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.48% ( | 70.52% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.05% ( | 37.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.28% | 74.72% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% ( | 17.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.85% ( | 47.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 2-1 @ 5.37% ( 2-0 @ 3.03% ( 3-1 @ 1.73% ( 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.56% Total : 20.46% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 11.43% ( 0-2 @ 10.12% ( 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0-3 @ 5.98% ( 1-3 @ 5.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0-4 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 2.57% ( 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0-5 @ 0.94% ( 1-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 56.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 29 | 8 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 94 |
| 3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 90 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 44 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 85 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 75 |
| 6 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 75 |
| 7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 73 |
| 8 | Portsmouth | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 68 |
| 9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 68 |
| 10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 44 | 13 | 20 | 11 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 59 |
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 58 |
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 57 |
| 13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 56 |
| 14 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 53 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 52 |
| 16 | Burton Albion | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 56 | 78 | -22 | 52 |
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 50 |
| 18 | Port Vale | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 49 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 44 |
| 20 | MK Dons | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 44 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 41 |
| 22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 41 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 66 | -29 | 40 |
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 84 | -53 | 27 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
