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EFL Cup
Oxford United
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Swansea logo
Oxford Utd
2 - 2
Swansea
Rodriguez (72'), Brannagan (90+3')
McGinty (7'), Browne (65')
FT
(aet)
Fulton (8'), Cullen (25')
Sorinola (76'), Cullen (82')
Oxford Utd win 5-3 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Oxford United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

Last Six:
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Swansea City

Last Six:
Last Game: Swansea 0-3 Blackburn
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Oxford United 0-2 Swansea City

 A trip to lower-league opposition is just what the doctor ordered for Swansea as they aim to finally post a first win of the season, with Oxford yet to find a golden touch in front of goal. The U's were indebted to a teenage hero at the weekend and can be expected to put out an experienced side here, but we cannot see Swansea suffering a shock early defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
41% (3.305 3.31) 25.19% (0.369 0.37) 33.8% (-3.675 -3.68)
Both teams to score 56.6% (-1.808 -1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (-2.124 -2.12)46.95% (2.124 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (-2.015 -2.02)69.19% (2.014 2.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (0.738 0.74)22.77% (-0.738 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (1.082 1.08)56.47% (-1.082 -1.08)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3% (-3.071 -3.07)26.7% (3.07 3.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04% (-4.238 -4.24)61.96% (4.236 4.24)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 41%
    Swansea City 33.8%
    Draw 25.19%
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9% (0.954 0.95)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.389 0.39)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.833 0.83)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.281 0.28)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.473 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.136 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.197 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 41%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.572 -0.57)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.446 -0.45)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.312 -0.31)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.8%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Swansea

Oxford United
38.9%
Swansea City
61.1%
18

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2016 12pm
Oxford Utd
3-2
Swansea
Sercombe (45' pen.), Roofe (49', 59')
Montero (23'), Gomis (66')
Grimes (39'), Amat (46'), Tabanou (52'), Shelvey (56')
> Match Report
Apr 15, 2005 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Oxford Utd
O'Leary (44')
Martinez (81')

Quinn (16'), Mackay (27'), Corbo (56')
Corbo (70')
Dec 8, 2004 3pm
Oxford Utd
0-1
Swansea

Robinson (4'), Ashton (50')
Ashton (60')
Goodfellow (61')
Gueret (36'), Monk (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224
> Full Version
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