

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-0 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Falkirk |
| 15.62% ( | 20.19% ( | 64.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% ( | 42.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.97% ( | 65.03% ( |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.85% ( | 40.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.21% ( | 76.79% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.43% ( | 12.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.36% ( | 38.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 4.61% ( 2-1 @ 4.36% ( 2-0 @ 2.1% ( 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.85% Total : 15.62% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.19% | 0-2 @ 10.85% 0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 7.5% ( 1-3 @ 6.85% ( 0-4 @ 3.89% ( 1-4 @ 3.55% ( 2-3 @ 3.12% 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0-5 @ 1.61% ( 1-5 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.35% Total : 64.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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