

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 43.17% ( | 25.16% ( | 31.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% ( | 47.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( | 69.67% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( | 21.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.75% ( | 55.25% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( | 28.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.98% ( | 64.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.17% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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