

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
| 39.79% ( | 24.12% ( | 36.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.45% ( | 41.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.05% ( | 63.95% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( | 21.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.19% ( | 53.81% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( | 22.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.37% ( | 56.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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