

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 45.36% ( | 24.81% ( | 29.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% ( | 46.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( | 68.96% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% ( | 20.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.78% ( | 53.22% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% ( | 29.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.92% ( | 65.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 45.36% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0-2 @ 4.57% ( 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
