Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-0 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 26.39% ( | 27.97% ( | 45.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.32% ( | 60.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% ( | 80.75% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.74% ( | 39.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.03% ( | 75.96% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( | 26.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.18% ( | 61.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 3-1 @ 1.88% ( 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 3-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.47% Total : 26.39% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0-0 @ 10.43% ( 2-2 @ 4% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 13.82% ( 0-2 @ 9.16% ( 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0-3 @ 4.04% ( 1-3 @ 3.78% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 45.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 67 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 71 | 44 | 27 | 52 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 45 |
| 7 | Montrose | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 35 |
| 9 | Clyde | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 16 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 30 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 14 | 74 | -60 | 12 |
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