

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Peterhead |
| 63.95% ( | 20.99% ( | 15.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.79% ( | 47.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.56% ( | 69.43% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.93% ( | 14.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.34% ( | 41.66% ( |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.3% ( | 43.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.12% ( | 79.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% 2-0 @ 11.82% ( 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 3-0 @ 7.73% ( 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 4-0 @ 3.79% ( 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 5-1 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 63.94% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 2-2 @ 4.05% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.99% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 2-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 1.47% Total : 15.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 78 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 64 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 78 | 50 | 28 | 57 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 57 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 21 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 81 | -63 | 16 |
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