Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 55.99% ( | 23.02% ( | 20.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( | 46.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.18% ( | 68.82% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( | 16.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.87% ( | 46.13% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.63% ( | 36.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.85% ( | 73.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 3-2 @ 3% ( 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 5-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 55.99% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.02% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 49 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 48 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Montrose | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 41 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 34 |
| 9 | Clyde | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 15 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 28 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 13 | 70 | -57 | 12 |
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