Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Moldova
1 - 1
Faroe Islands

Nicolaescu (87' pen.)
Craciun (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mikkelsen (27')
Vatnhamar (50'), Rolantsson (78'), Mneney (84'), Lamhauge (86'), Vatnsdal (86'), Mohr Jonsson (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Moldova and Faroe Islands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

Last Game: Moldova 0-5 Romania
Sunday, November 20 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Faroe Islands

All competitions

Last Game: Kosovo 1-1 Faroe Islands
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	0	0	0
2	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Lithuania	0	0	0

We said: Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands

Moldova will relish their home advantage on Friday night but have not been in the best form of late, meaning three points are by no means a formality. Faroe Islands have lofty ambitions as a footballing nation and should be good enough to earn a point on their travels to kick-start their quest for Euro 2024 qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Faroe Islands
40.47% ( 0.1)	27.91% ( 0.09)	31.62% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 47.38% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.54% (

-0.38)

58.46% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.95% (

-0.3)

79.05% (

0.3)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69% (

-0.12)

28.31% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97% (

-0.16)

64.03% (

0.16)

Faroe Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08% (

-0.34)

33.92% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.41% (

-0.37)

70.59% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Moldova 40.46%

Faroe Islands 31.62%

Draw 27.91%

Moldova	Draw	Faroe Islands
1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 40.46%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.91%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.62%