| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | -10 | 1 |
| 10 | Peterhead | 5 | -12 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dunfermline Athletic | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 0 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
| 44.3% ( | 25.75% ( | 29.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( | 50.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% ( | 72.58% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( | 22.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.49% ( | 56.51% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% ( | 31.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.59% ( | 67.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 49 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 48 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Montrose | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 41 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 34 |
| 9 | Clyde | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 15 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 28 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 13 | 70 | -57 | 12 |
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