Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2023 at 5pm UK

Armenia
1 - 2
Turkey

Kabak (10' og.)
Mkrtchyan (45'), Spertsyan (48'), Bayramyan (65'), Haroyan (71'), Barseghyan (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kokcu (34'), Akturkoglu (64')
Soyuncu (38'), Demiral (42'), Bulut (42'), Yuksek (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Armenia and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions

Last Game: Albania 2-0 Armenia
Saturday, November 19 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Turkey

All competitions

Last Game: Turkey 2-1 Czech Republic
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	0	0	0
2	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Lithuania	0	0	0

Zelarayan will almost certainly play a key role if Armenia are to do anything, and he may get some joy against a fragile Turkey rearguard. However, the class in the ranks for the visitors is clear, and they should take three points back to Bursa, where they will face Croatia on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 86.97%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 4.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 0-4 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.19%), while for an Armenia win it was 2-1 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
Armenia	Draw	Turkey
4.09% ( 0.01)	8.94% ( -0.03)	86.97% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 45.14% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.7% (

0.26)

25.3% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.7% (

0.34)

45.3% (

-0.34)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.93% (

0.26)

53.07% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.31% (

0.16)

86.69% (

-0.17)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.19% (

0.04)

3.81% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.74% (

0.15)

16.26% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Armenia 4.09%

Turkey 86.96%

Draw 8.94%

Armenia	Draw	Turkey
2-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.48% Total : 4.09%	1-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.57% Total : 8.94%	0-3 @ 11.75% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 6.09% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 3.98% ( 0.04) 0-6 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 1-6 @ 2.17% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 0-7 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 1-7 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.85% Total : 86.96%