League Two | Gameweek 38
Crawley
2 - 0
Rochdale
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Doncaster
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 4-4 Swindon
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Rochdale
Effectively consigning their visitors to the drop, Crawley can pull 10 points clear of Rochdale with a win and are likely to do so. Despite their last-gasp heroics last time out, Dale are too vulnerable defensively and rarely do well on the road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Rochdale |
47.2% ( -0.07) | 25.89% ( 0.03) | 26.9% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
