Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Rochdale | 
| 47.56% (  0.04) | 26.8% (  -0.02) | 25.64% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 47.16% (  0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.9% (  0.04) | 57.09% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.03% (  0.04) | 77.97% (  -0.04) | 
| Grimsby Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.96% (  0.04) | 24.04% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.69% (  0.05) | 58.31% (  -0.05) | 
| Rochdale Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.08% (  0) | 37.92% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.31% (  0) | 74.69% (  -0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Rochdale | 
| 1-0 @ 12.99% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.26% (  0) 2-1 @ 8.98% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 4.4% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 4.27% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.57% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.52% (  0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 47.56% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 9.12% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.36% (  0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 8.84% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.11% (  -0) 0-2 @ 4.29% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.41% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.39% (  -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 25.64% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 41 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 84 | 
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 42 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 74 | 
| 3 | Stevenage | 41 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 73 | 
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 42 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 58 | 34 | 24 | 71 | 
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 71 | 
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 41 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 71 | 
| 7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 41 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 66 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 66 | 
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 42 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 62 | 
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 57 | 
| 11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 53 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 41 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 52 | 
| 13 | Grimsby Town | 41 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 52 | 
| 14 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 52 | 
| 15 | Walsall | 42 | 11 | 18 | 13 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 51 | 
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 51 | 
| 17 | Newport CountyNewport | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 50 | 
| 18 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 48 | 
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 47 | 
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 42 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 45 | 
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 41 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 42 | 
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 42 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 41 | 
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 42 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 39 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 33 | 
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