| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Stockport County | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Rochdale | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Tranmere Rovers | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Newport County | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Grimsby Town | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Swindon Town | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 39.36% ( | 25.96% ( | 34.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.83% ( | 50.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% ( | 72.13% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( | 25.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.27% ( | 59.73% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% ( | 27.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.72% ( | 63.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.36% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
| 2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 64 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 63 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 59 |
| 7 | Salford City | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 56 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 52 |
| 11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 50 |
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 49 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 48 |
| 14 | Walsall | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 44 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 42 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 42 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 38 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 30 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 29 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 25 |
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