Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht | 
| 46.93% ( | 23.6% ( | 29.47% ( | 
| Both teams to score 60.17% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.59% ( | 41.41% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.19% ( | 63.81% ( | 
| NEC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.11% ( | 17.88% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.33% ( | 48.66% ( | 
| FC Utrecht Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.27% ( | 26.73% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38% ( | 61.99% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht | 
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 4-2 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.93%  | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.59%  | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 1-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.47%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 | 
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 | 
| 6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | 
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 | 
| 13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 | 
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 | 
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 | 
| 17 | Groningen | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 17 | 
| 18 | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 | 
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