Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard | 
| 64.59% (  3.01) | 19.7% (  -1.01) | 15.71% (  -2.01) | 
| Both teams to score 54.25% (  -0.94) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.81% (  0.91) | 40.19% (  -0.91) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.44% (  0.93) | 62.56% (  -0.93) | 
| FC Utrecht Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.26% (  1.12) | 11.73% (  -1.12) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.12% (  2.35) | 36.87% (  -2.35) | 
| Fortuna Sittard Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.46% (  -1.87) | 38.53% (  1.87) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.72% (  -1.82) | 75.28% (  1.82) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard | 
| 2-0 @ 10.37% (  0.45) 2-1 @ 9.9% (  -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.69% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 7.41% (  0.63) 3-1 @ 7.07% (  0.27) 4-0 @ 3.97% (  0.49) 4-1 @ 3.79% (  0.3) 3-2 @ 3.37% (  -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.81% (  0.06) 5-0 @ 1.7% (  0.27) 5-1 @ 1.62% (  0.19) Other @ 3.88% Total : 64.58% | 1-1 @ 9.24% (  -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.72% (  -0.27) 0-0 @ 4.52% (  -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.07% (  -0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.7% | 1-2 @ 4.41% (  -0.46) 0-1 @ 4.31% (  -0.42) 0-2 @ 2.06% (  -0.32) 2-3 @ 1.5% (  -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.4% (  -0.23) Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.71% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 | 
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 | 
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 | 
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 | 
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 | 
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 | 
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 | 
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 | 
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 | 
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 | 
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 | 
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
