

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 14.56% ( | 18.56% ( | 66.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.78% ( | 37.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.57% ( | 59.43% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( | 38.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.06% ( | 74.94% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.71% ( | 10.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.31% ( | 33.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.14% ( 1-0 @ 3.78% ( 2-0 @ 1.82% ( 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 3-1 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 14.56% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.56% | 0-2 @ 10.15% ( 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0-3 @ 7.7% ( 1-3 @ 7.41% ( 0-4 @ 4.38% ( 1-4 @ 4.22% ( 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0-5 @ 1.99% ( 1-5 @ 1.92% ( 2-5 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.88% Total : 66.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 34 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 19 |
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