Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.53%) and 0-1 (4.95%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
| 33.82% ( | 21.45% ( | 44.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 70.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.27% ( | 28.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.36% ( | 49.64% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( | 18.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.92% ( | 49.07% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.21% ( | 13.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.89% ( | 41.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 1-0 @ 4.27% ( 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 4-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.78% Total : 33.82% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 2-2 @ 7.16% ( 3-3 @ 2.69% ( 0-0 @ 2.5% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 2-3 @ 4.73% ( 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 2-4 @ 2.34% ( 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 3-4 @ 1.33% ( 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 2-5 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 44.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 27 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 64 |
| 2 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 46 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 39 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 32 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 27 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
| 17 | Groningen | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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