Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.69%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.66%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
