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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78.71%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 7.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.86%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Ajax |
7.5% | 13.78% | 78.71% |
Both teams to score 46.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.01% | 34.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.01% | 56.99% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.43% | 49.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.64% | 84.36% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.91% | 7.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.14% | 25.86% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Ajax |
1-0 @ 2.47% 2-1 @ 2.29% Other @ 2.75% Total : 7.5% | 1-1 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 3.52% 2-2 @ 3.03% Other @ 0.7% Total : 13.78% | 0-2 @ 12.31% 0-3 @ 10.86% 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 8.64% 1-3 @ 7.62% 0-4 @ 7.19% 1-4 @ 5.04% 0-5 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-5 @ 2.67% 2-4 @ 1.77% 0-6 @ 1.68% 1-6 @ 1.18% 2-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.03% Total : 78.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 63 | 22 | 41 | 46 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 44 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 43 |
5 | FC Twente | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
8 | Heerenveen | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 30 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 26 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
13 | Vitesse | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 23 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 20 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
17 | Groningen | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 14 |
18 | Cambuur | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 13 |
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