Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.3%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 8.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
