

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-3 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax | 
| 10.11% | 14.16% | 75.73% | 
| Both teams to score 58.33% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 72.97% | 27.03% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 52.47% | 47.53% | 
| Fortuna Sittard Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.01% | 37.99% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.24% | 74.76% | 
| Ajax Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 94.07% | 5.94% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 77.3% | 22.7% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax | 
| 2-1 @ 2.98% 1-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.36% 2-0 @ 1.06% 3-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.57% Total : 10.11% | 1-1 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 4.21% 0-0 @ 2.26% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.25% Total : 14.16% | 0-2 @ 9% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-3 @ 8.47% 1-3 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 6.37% 0-4 @ 5.98% 1-4 @ 5.79% 2-3 @ 3.97% 0-5 @ 3.38% 1-5 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.8% 0-6 @ 1.59% 2-5 @ 1.58% 1-6 @ 1.54% 3-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 4.17% Total : 75.73% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 
| 3 | FC Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 
| 4 | Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 
| 6 | Heerenveen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 
| 7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 
| 9 | Heracles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | 
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 
| 12 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 | 
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 
| 14 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | 
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | 
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 | 
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 | 
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
