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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 0-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
18.9% | 19.81% | 61.3% |
Both teams to score 60.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.21% | 34.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.24% | 56.76% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.37% | 31.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.96% | 68.04% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89% | 11.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.71% | 35.29% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.09% 1-0 @ 4.01% 2-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.16% 3-1 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.39% Total : 18.9% | 1-1 @ 8.84% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 3.48% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.81% | 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 8.48% 0-1 @ 7.68% 1-3 @ 7.18% 0-3 @ 6.24% 2-3 @ 4.13% 1-4 @ 3.96% 0-4 @ 3.44% 2-4 @ 2.28% 1-5 @ 1.75% 0-5 @ 1.52% 2-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.88% Total : 61.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 |
13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 |
17 | Groningen | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 |
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