Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 13.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
