Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensor 2-2 Penarol
Saturday, February 25 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, February 25 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-0 Maldonado
Friday, March 3 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, March 3 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
53.53% ( -0.31) | 26.82% ( -0.03) | 19.64% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 40.76% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
