Sampdoria are yet to draw any of their seven league games against Salernitana, but that quirk of history may be ended on Sunday as they lack the firepower to capitalise on their visitors' defensive deficiencies. A point suits the Granata more, though, and would continue Paulo Sousa's promising start as head coach.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.34) 
0.34) 
