Sampdoria have scored only once this month, and Udinese have barely fared better, so a hatful of goals is not on the agenda when they meet this weekend. Instead, a tight affair should be expected, in which the away side come out on top by the narrowest of margins.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Udinese in this match.
0.4) 
-0.32) 
