Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.