| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 | 
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 | 
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 | 
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.2%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 5.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.87%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Sampdoria | 
| 82.2% (  0.39) | 12.02% (  -0.07) | 5.79% (  -0.32) | 
| Both teams to score 43.78% (  -1.96) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 66.53% (  -1.27) | 33.47% (  1.28) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 44.74% (  -1.47) | 55.26% (  1.47) | 
| Inter Milan Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 93.91% (  -0.18) | 6.09% (  0.18) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 76.87% (  -0.5) | 23.13% (  0.5) | 
| Sampdoria Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 46.62% (  -1.99) | 53.38% (  2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.11% (  -1.29) | 86.89% (  1.29) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Inter Milan | Draw | Sampdoria | 
| 2-0 @ 12.72% (  0.58) 3-0 @ 11.87% (  0.42) 1-0 @ 9.1% (  0.51) 4-0 @ 8.31% (  0.21) 2-1 @ 7.99% (  -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.45% (  -0.17) 4-1 @ 5.22% (  -0.18) 5-0 @ 4.65% (  0.07) 5-1 @ 2.92% (  -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.34% (  -0.2) 6-0 @ 2.17% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% (  -0.16) 6-1 @ 1.36% (  -0.08) 5-2 @ 0.92% (  -0.1) Other @ 3.53% Total : 82.18% | 1-1 @ 5.71% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.25% (  0.21) 2-2 @ 2.51% (  -0.19) Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.02% | 0-1 @ 2.04% (  0.02) 1-2 @ 1.79% (  -0.11) Other @ 1.95% Total : 5.79% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 15 | 39 | 59 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 44 | 
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 | 
| 4 | Roma | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 41 | 
| 5 | AC Milan | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 41 | 
| 6 | Lazio | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 39 | 
| 7 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 | 
| 8 | Torino | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 | 
| 9 | Juventus | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 29 | 
| 10 | Monza | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 29 | 
| 11 | Bologna | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 | 
| 12 | Empoli | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 27 | 
| 13 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 | 
| 14 | Fiorentina | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 24 | 
| 15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 24 | 
| 16 | Salernitana | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 21 | 
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 19 | 
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | 
| 19 | Sampdoria | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 36 | -26 | 11 | 
| 20 | Cremonese | 22 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 8 | 
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