

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Barrow |
| 39.3% ( | 27.58% ( | 33.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.08% ( | 56.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.17% ( | 77.83% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( | 28.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.06% ( | 63.94% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( | 32.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.46% ( | 68.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 4-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.3% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 18 |
| 3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
| 9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 | MK Dons | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 | Morecambe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 |
| 21 | Salford City | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 6 |
| 24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 4 |
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